Speculation and Potential Scenarios IF Ole Nan Goes to Taiwan ...
8-3-22, A number of military analysis publications are examining the various possible 'worst case scenarios' that could follow Speaker Pelosi's trip to Taiwan. One independent western analyst and China-Taiwan based watcher has laid out an insightful full range of hypothetical, albeit realistic scenarios involving different potential levels of Chinese aggression against the self-ruled island of Taiwan. It's titled:
Report: Red Clouds of War Looming Over Taiwan 
Posted on July 28, 2022 by jaydeegroot
Scenario 1: The minimalist approach. The Chinese People's Liberation Army [PLA] occupies Jinmen or Matsu islands, as well as Taiwan’s islands in the South China Sea, and maybe even the Penghu Islands. They also declare part or all of the Taiwan Strait a “no go” zone to foreign military shipping. This would probably be fairly easy for the PLA, and Taiwan would probably not want to overcommit to naval action against the huge PLA Navy (PLAN) if it didn’t directly approach the main island.
Scenario 2: Hybrid warfare. Some sort of partial naval and aerial blockade of Taiwan intended to interfere with the economy, combined with stepped-up harassment, such as direct flyovers of Taiwan’s territory by PLA Air Force (PLAAF) jets, or incursions into Taiwan’s maritime space by China’s naval militia, protected by PLAN warships. This might also be accompanied by cyberattacks designed to shut down the internet and other infrastructure for days at a time. Taiwan would have no choice to assert a stiff defensive posture, resulting in real engagements between Taiwanese and Chinese forces, posing a serious risk of escalation.
Scenario 3: A serious attack but no invasion. This would involve air and sea warfare only, no boots on the ground. A full aerial and naval blockade, a protracted set of naval and aerial battles designed to degrade Taiwan’s military, combined with ballistic missile attacks on military targets. Aggressive cyberattacks turning off the internet and shutting down critical infrastructure for days or weeks. Once air and naval superiority were established, China could pick off targets at will, ratcheting up the threat until the government breaks.
 Full report here:
or here www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-sink-pelosi-taiwan-headlines
Republican Speaker Newt Gingrich went to Taiwan in 1998:
History: What's behind the China-Taiwan divide?
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